Skip to content

Contact us

Send us a message

Questions, bugs or ideas: it goes straight to the Scoutics team, and we reply by email.

What is it about?

Prefer a full page? Open Support
EPL Premier League
Your matchups

Pick a fixture, run the simulator, and explore the pitch in detail.

Forecast Record

Every forecast is saved before the game starts and scored against what actually happened, next to the sportsbooks’ prices. Here’s how we keep score, in public.

Real games · paper money · early evidence

One record, four sports.

Forecast quality within each sport; the scores are not pooled or ranked across sports
SportCommon gamesDarius log lossBahram log lossRecord
Premier LeagueHome / draw / away · 17 Oct 2026–25 Oct 2026190.92920.9251
NFLHome / awayPro and Insider
NHLHome / awayPro and Insider
NBAHome / awayPro and Insider

Lower log loss is better. Each sport is scored on its own finished regular-season games; sports are not ranked against each other. Guard and the exit research cover the Premier League only.

Try the comparison before choosing a plan.

Use the same forecasts on today’s games.

Open GamesCompare plans

This record evaluates forecasts and paper selections, not lineup or tactical simulations. Inspect the worked lineup example.

How the record works

Saved Before Kickoff

Each forecast is saved before the game begins and only ever added to, so nothing can be adjusted after the fact.

Graded Against Results

Once the game ends, every forecast is scored against the official final and added to the record.

Compared With the Market

We score our forecasts against the sportsbooks’ prices with the margin removed, on the same games.

Every Sport, One Record

Premier League soccer, the NBA, NFL and NHL, each scored on its own games; sports are not ranked against each other.

Wins and Misses Included

Every scored game stays on the record, including the forecasts that missed. You can download the saved rows.

Plain-English Findings

Our research page explains what the numbers show, and what they don’t.

Three twenty-sided dice, one white, one half black and one black

What the Record Shows So Far

Our testing has not yet established a reliable forecasting advantage over market prices. We publish that openly, because a second opinion is only useful if you know how much to trust it.

Open methodology

Score definitions, cohorts and limits sit beside every table, and the saved rows download as CSV.

No cherry-picking

Saved decisions and replays worked out afterwards are labelled and kept apart.

Use the Record Wisely

Model estimates can help you think about a game, but they are never a guarantee or betting advice. All amounts here are paper results: no real bets are placed.

  • Check the record before trusting a number
  • Compare prices across sportsbooks
  • Play responsibly: 21+ where required (18+ in the UK, Europe and Australia)
A yellow keyboard key that reads Second Opinion

Create your free Scoutics account today

Start free with every app’s price and our forecast for the NFL, NBA, NHL and Premier League, plus two free simulation runs. Upgrade when you want more simulations and research tools. Plans pay for software access, never stakes.

Get Started for Free
Create a free account

Save games and lineups, follow your teams, see every saved forecast, and keep your settings on every device.

Create free account Sign in

Get more from Scoutics, freeSign in to save and play this lineupSee today's games with a free account

A free account takes a few seconds with Google or your email.A free account saves lineups and includes two free runs: one with the real lineups and one with yours. Signing up takes a few seconds with Google or your email.Games, live prices, simulations and team data are for members. Signing up is free and takes a few seconds with Google or your email.

Create free account I already have an account

Home pageSee plans

Back to today's games

Free to join. No card needed.