Who wins
How often each side wins, overtime included and ties possible, beside the market price when a pregame quote is available.
NFL · Lineup simulator
Pick a game, set the starters on offense and defense, then run 5 to 20 full games and see who wins and why.
Every NFL game forecast before kickoff. See each team’s chances. How the numbers are madeThe chance you see comes from our forecast model, which learns from earlier final scores. It is saved before the game starts and scored on the track record.When the injury report changes, run the simulator again.
Next games
Next kickoff Nov 01, 18:00 UTC
The prices that stand out from the rest of the market.
Checking today’s model and market numbers…
Who wins each game, and what the sportsbooks pay.
| # | Home | Away | Kickoff · UTC | Home ML | Away ML | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buffalo Bills | Baltimore Ravens | Nov 01, 18:00 UTC | -175 | +150 | Reference snapshot |
| 2 | Cincinnati Bengals | Tennessee Titans | Nov 01, 18:00 UTC | -714 | +505 | Reference snapshot |
| 3 | Dallas Cowboys | Arizona Cardinals | Nov 01, 18:00 UTC | -323 | +250 | Reference snapshot |
| 4 | Detroit Lions | Minnesota Vikings | Nov 01, 18:00 UTC | -179 | +150 | Reference snapshot |
| 5 | New York Jets | Las Vegas Raiders | Nov 01, 18:00 UTC | -120 | +100 | Reference snapshot |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Cleveland Browns | Nov 01, 18:00 UTC | -196 | +165 | Reference snapshot |
| 7 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Atlanta Falcons | Nov 01, 18:00 UTC | -141 | +115 | Reference snapshot |
| 8 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Indianapolis Colts | Nov 01, 18:00 UTC | -500 | +375 | Reference snapshot |
| 9 | Los Angeles Rams | Los Angeles Chargers | Nov 01, 21:05 UTC | -294 | +238 | Reference snapshot |
| 10 | Denver Broncos | Kansas City Chiefs | Nov 01, 21:25 UTC | +100 | -120 | Reference snapshot |
| 11 | Miami Dolphins | New England Patriots | Nov 01, 21:25 UTC | +265 | -333 | Reference snapshot |
| 12 | Washington Commanders | Philadelphia Eagles | Nov 02, 01:20 UTC | -263 | +210 | Reference snapshot |
| 13 | Seattle Seahawks | Chicago Bears | Nov 03, 01:15 UTC | — | — | No snapshot |
| 14 | Baltimore Ravens | Jacksonville Jaguars | Nov 06, 01:15 UTC | -154 | +130 | Reference snapshot |
| 15 | Atlanta Falcons | Cincinnati Bengals | Nov 08, 14:30 UTC | +142 | -169 | Reference snapshot |
| 16 | Indianapolis Colts | Dallas Cowboys | Nov 08, 18:00 UTC | +191 | -233 | Reference snapshot |
| Match | Selection | Model % | Fair odds | Market % | Gap (pp) | EV/$100 |
|---|
Every sportsbook’s price on each game, side by side.
Loading every sportsbook’s price…
Current-season results and published rosters are collected from public sources. Coverage and timestamps are shown.
Open the simulator separately to explore the selected matchup. Rankings do not wait for a simulation to finish.
Compare independent model estimates with timestamped market references when settlement rules match. A probability gap is not a guaranteed advantage.
| Team | GP | Wins | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Vikings 6-0 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | San Francisco 49ers 6-1 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | Kansas City Chiefs 5-1 | 6 | 5 |
| 3 | Buffalo Bills 5-1 | 6 | 5 |
| 5 | Chicago Bears 5-2 | 7 | 5 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Steelers 5-2 | 7 | 5 |
| 5 | Denver Broncos 5-2 | 7 | 5 |
| 5 | Cleveland Browns 5-2 | 7 | 5 |
| 9 | Jacksonville Jaguars 4-2 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Cincinnati Bengals 4-2 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Detroit Lions 4-2 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | New York Giants 4-2-1 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Green Bay Packers 5-3 | 8 | 5 |
| 14 | Seattle Seahawks 4-3 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | New England Patriots 4-3 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | Baltimore Ravens 4-3 | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | Los Angeles Rams 3-4 | 7 | 3 |
| 17 | Dallas Cowboys 3-4 | 7 | 3 |
| 17 | Atlanta Falcons 3-4 | 7 | 3 |
| 17 | Las Vegas Raiders 3-4 | 7 | 3 |
| 17 | Carolina Panthers 3-4 | 7 | 3 |
| 22 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2-5 | 7 | 2 |
| 22 | Houston Texans 2-5 | 7 | 2 |
| 22 | New York Jets 2-5 | 7 | 2 |
| 22 | Indianapolis Colts 2-5 | 7 | 2 |
| 22 | New Orleans Saints 2-5 | 7 | 2 |
| 22 | Philadelphia Eagles 2-5 | 7 | 2 |
| 22 | Arizona Cardinals 2-5 | 7 | 2 |
| 29 | Washington Commanders 1-4-1 | 6 | 1 |
| 30 | Miami Dolphins 1-5 | 6 | 1 |
| 31 | Tennessee Titans 1-6 | 7 | 1 |
| 32 | Los Angeles Chargers 0-6 | 6 | 0 |
Choose players, then Save lineup and play. Each run plays 5, 10, 15 or 20 full games; the tables update after every game.
Pick the match, then tap a shirt to change who starts.
Compare the same opponent with different saved lineups. Scenario results are separate from the saved match forecast.
Roster: loading current teams and availability…
Select a jersey, then a compatible squad player. Switch offense/defense above. Schematic positions; the other team stays unchanged.
Loading roster data. The field is available immediately.
The simulator below uses the lineup you last saved.
Press Save lineup and play above; the results appear here.
Every run plays complete games with the players you saved, and the tables fill in after each one.
How often each side wins, overtime included and ties possible, beside the market price when a pregame quote is available.
Points totals, winning margins, team averages and the most frequent final scores.
Every player ranked by games with a rushing or receiving touchdown, with average touchdowns.
Change the quarterback, swap a receiver, save and play again. The result card puts your new run beside your earlier one and says when the change is bigger than chance alone usually gives.
On Pro and Insider, 100 fast simulations test the same saved lineup many times over. A batch uses one custom-lineup simulation, the same as a run, not 100.
Fast scenarios are quicker approximations than the full games a run plays; their ranges show sampling uncertainty, not model error.
Plans pay for software access, never stakes. All plan details
Simulations are model estimates, never a guarantee or betting advice. Our testing has not yet established a reliable forecasting advantage over market prices.
View Forecast Record
Paid plans keep your runs: 7 days on Fan and Starter, 90 days with CSV export on Pro, and the full history on Insider.
Saved run history
CSV export
Save lineups and get two free simulation runs. Upgrade when you want more simulations and research tools. Plans pay for software access, never stakes.
Choose the home and away teams at the top of the editor.
Keep the projected starters or swap in your own. Saving is free.
Press Save lineup and play. See who wins, the scores and the players, beside the market price when one is available.
Compare every sportsbook’s price, simulate matchups and check our public forecast record. Every number is a model estimate, never a guarantee or betting advice.
Expand to inspect current rosters and available statistics.
Roster selections are projected, not confirmed lineups. A dash means unavailable, not zero. Reported salary is not transfer value, cap hit, or guaranteed compensation.
| Player | Position | Status | Games | Derived FP / game | Reported salary · USD |
|---|
Save games and lineups, follow your teams, see every saved forecast, and keep your settings on every device.