Who wins
How often each side wins, overtime included, beside the market price when a pregame quote is available.
NBA · Lineup simulator
Pick a game, set each side’s starting five, then run 5 to 20 full games and see who wins and why.
Every NBA game forecast before tip-off. See each team’s chances. How the numbers are madeThe chance you see comes from our forecast model, which learns from earlier final scores. It is saved before the game starts and scored on the track record.Rest and back-to-backs are built in. Bench a star in the simulator and see what changes.
Next games
Next kickoff Oct 30, 23:00 UTC
The prices that stand out from the rest of the market.
Checking today’s model and market numbers…
Who wins each game, and what the sportsbooks pay.
| # | Home | Away | Tip-off · UTC | Home ML | Away ML | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Wizards | Charlotte Hornets | Oct 30, 23:00 UTC | -109 | -112 | Reference snapshot |
| 2 | Boston Celtics | Chicago Bulls | Oct 30, 23:30 UTC | -909 | +600 | Reference snapshot |
| 3 | Brooklyn Nets | Detroit Pistons | Oct 30, 23:30 UTC | +260 | -323 | Reference snapshot |
| 4 | Philadelphia 76ers | New York Knicks | Oct 30, 23:30 UTC | +105 | -125 | Reference snapshot |
| 5 | Toronto Raptors | Orlando Magic | Oct 30, 23:30 UTC | -217 | +180 | Reference snapshot |
| 6 | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Oct 31, 00:00 UTC | -323 | +260 | Reference snapshot |
| 7 | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Oct 31, 00:00 UTC | +190 | -233 | Reference snapshot |
| 8 | Minnesota Timberwolves | LA Clippers | Oct 31, 00:00 UTC | -278 | +220 | Reference snapshot |
| 9 | Golden State Warriors | Los Angeles Lakers | Oct 31, 02:00 UTC | +125 | -145 | Reference snapshot |
| 10 | Phoenix Suns | Denver Nuggets | Oct 31, 02:00 UTC | +150 | -175 | Reference snapshot |
| 11 | Utah Jazz | Portland Trail Blazers | Oct 31, 19:00 UTC | — | — | No snapshot |
| 12 | Charlotte Hornets | Philadelphia 76ers | Oct 31, 22:00 UTC | — | — | No snapshot |
| 13 | New Orleans Pelicans | Atlanta Hawks | Oct 31, 23:00 UTC | — | — | No snapshot |
| 14 | Memphis Grizzlies | Sacramento Kings | Nov 01, 00:00 UTC | — | — | No snapshot |
| 15 | Milwaukee Bucks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Nov 01, 00:00 UTC | — | — | No snapshot |
| 16 | San Antonio Spurs | Minnesota Timberwolves | Nov 01, 00:00 UTC | — | — | No snapshot |
| Match | Selection | Model % | Fair odds | Market % | Gap (pp) | EV/$100 |
|---|
Every sportsbook’s price on each game, side by side.
Loading every sportsbook’s price…
Current-season results and published rosters are collected from public sources. Coverage and timestamps are shown.
Open the simulator separately to explore the selected matchup. Rankings do not wait for a simulation to finish.
Compare independent model estimates with timestamped market references when settlement rules match. A probability gap is not a guaranteed advantage.
| Team | GP | Wins | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston Rockets 5-0 | 5 | 5 |
| 1 | Memphis Grizzlies 5-0 | 5 | 5 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Lakers 4-1 | 5 | 4 |
| 3 | Detroit Pistons 4-1 | 5 | 4 |
| 3 | Oklahoma City Thunder 4-1 | 5 | 4 |
| 3 | Philadelphia 76ers 4-1 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Toronto Raptors 3-1 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Portland Trail Blazers 3-1 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Boston Celtics 3-1 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Minnesota Timberwolves 3-2 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | San Antonio Spurs 3-2 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | Dallas Mavericks 3-2 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | Cleveland Cavaliers 3-2 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | Charlotte Hornets 3-2 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | Atlanta Hawks 3-3 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Denver Nuggets 2-2 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Indiana Pacers 2-3 | 5 | 2 |
| 17 | New York Knicks 2-3 | 5 | 2 |
| 17 | Golden State Warriors 2-3 | 5 | 2 |
| 17 | Washington Wizards 2-3 | 5 | 2 |
| 21 | Phoenix Suns 1-2 | 3 | 1 |
| 22 | LA Clippers 1-3 | 4 | 1 |
| 22 | Orlando Magic 1-3 | 4 | 1 |
| 24 | New Orleans Pelicans 1-4 | 5 | 1 |
| 24 | Miami Heat 1-4 | 5 | 1 |
| 24 | Utah Jazz 1-4 | 5 | 1 |
| 24 | Milwaukee Bucks 1-4 | 5 | 1 |
| 24 | Chicago Bulls 1-4 | 5 | 1 |
| 29 | Brooklyn Nets 0-4 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 | Sacramento Kings 0-5 | 5 | 0 |
Choose players, then Save lineup and play. Each run plays 5, 10, 15 or 20 full games; the tables update after every game.
Pick the match, then tap a shirt to change who starts.
Compare the same opponent with different saved lineups. Scenario results are separate from the saved match forecast.
Roster: loading current teams and availability…
Select a jersey, then a compatible squad player. Schematic positions; the other team stays unchanged.
Loading roster data. The field is available immediately.
The simulator below uses the lineup you last saved.
Press Save lineup and play above; the results appear here.
Every run plays complete games with the players you saved, and the tables fill in after each one.
How often each side wins, overtime included, beside the market price when a pregame quote is available.
Points totals, team averages and the most frequent final scores across your games.
Every player ranked by 20-point games, with average points and 10+ and 30+ point games.
Bench a star, start a rookie, save and play again. The result card puts your new run beside your earlier one and says when the change is bigger than chance alone usually gives.
On Pro and Insider, 100 fast simulations test the same saved lineup many times over. A batch uses one custom-lineup simulation, the same as a run, not 100.
Fast scenarios are quicker approximations than the full games a run plays; their ranges show sampling uncertainty, not model error.
Plans pay for software access, never stakes. All plan details
Simulations are model estimates, never a guarantee or betting advice. Our testing has not yet established a reliable forecasting advantage over market prices.
View Forecast Record
Paid plans keep your runs: 7 days on Fan and Starter, 90 days with CSV export on Pro, and the full history on Insider.
Saved run history
CSV export
Save lineups and get two free simulation runs. Upgrade when you want more simulations and research tools. Plans pay for software access, never stakes.
Choose the home and away teams at the top of the editor.
Keep the projected starters or swap in your own. Saving is free.
Press Save lineup and play. See who wins, the scores and the players, beside the market price when one is available.
Compare every sportsbook’s price, simulate matchups and check our public forecast record. Every number is a model estimate, never a guarantee or betting advice.
Expand to inspect current rosters and available statistics.
Roster selections are projected, not confirmed lineups. A dash means unavailable, not zero. Reported salary is not transfer value, cap hit, or guaranteed compensation.
| Player | Position | Status | Games | Derived FP / game | Reported salary · USD |
|---|
Save games and lineups, follow your teams, see every saved forecast, and keep your settings on every device.