Home, draw or away
How often each side wins and how often it ends level after 90 minutes and stoppage time, beside the market price when a pregame quote is available.
Where the edge isWhat an edge isAn edge is a price that pays more than the other sportsbooks say it should. We take every book’s price, remove its margin, and compare each book with the rest.Start here, then pick a game in the table below to see every price.It is an estimate from market prices, not a promise of profit.
The prices that stand out from the rest of the market.
Checking today’s model and market numbers…
Upcoming fixtures
Who wins each match, and what the sportsbooks pay.
| # | Home | Away | Kickoff · UTC | Home ML | Draw | Away ML | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | Man Utd | Oct 31, 12:30 UTCGW 9 | -125 | +285 | +300 | Reference snapshot |
| 2 | Bournemouth | Leeds | Oct 31, 15:00 UTCGW 9 | +110 | +240 | +240 | Reference snapshot |
| 3 | Brentford | Nott'm Forest | Oct 31, 15:00 UTCGW 9 | +105 | +270 | +240 | Reference snapshot |
| 4 | Coventry City | Sunderland | Oct 31, 15:00 UTCGW 9 | +200 | +230 | +130 | Reference snapshot |
| 5 | Hull City | Ipswich Town | Oct 31, 15:00 UTCGW 9 | +160 | +240 | +165 | Reference snapshot |
| 6 | Man City | Brighton | Oct 31, 15:00 UTCGW 9 | -161 | +350 | +360 | Reference snapshot |
| 7 | Spurs | Crystal Palace | Oct 31, 17:30 UTCGW 9 | -175 | +333 | +425 | Reference snapshot |
| 8 | Aston Villa | Fulham | Oct 31, 20:00 UTCGW 9 | -110 | +270 | +275 | Reference snapshot |
| 9 | Liverpool | Arsenal | Nov 01, 16:30 UTCGW 9 | +190 | +240 | +138 | Reference snapshot |
| 10 | Newcastle | Everton | Nov 02, 20:00 UTCGW 9 | +130 | +250 | +190 | Reference snapshot |
| 11 | Everton | Coventry City | Nov 06, 20:00 UTCGW 10 | -143 | +282 | +355 | Reference snapshot |
| 12 | Leeds | Spurs | Nov 07, 12:30 UTCGW 10 | +155 | +230 | +165 | Reference snapshot |
| 13 | Arsenal | Hull City | Nov 07, 15:00 UTCGW 10 | -588 | +600 | +1400 | Reference snapshot |
| 14 | Fulham | Newcastle | Nov 07, 15:00 UTCGW 10 | +123 | +250 | +200 | Reference snapshot |
| 15 | Nott'm Forest | Man City | Nov 07, 17:30 UTCGW 10 | +375 | +310 | -161 | Reference snapshot |
| 16 | Brighton | Brentford | Nov 08, 14:00 UTCGW 10 | -110 | +280 | +260 | Reference snapshot |
Published schedule · fresh snapshot · fetched 2026-10-30T18:33:24.534436ZAbout these pricesPublic sportsbook-style prices are supplied through The Odds API and kept separate from our model’s estimates.“No quote” means the price is missing. It is never a zero or a prediction.
| Match | Selection | Model % | Fair odds | Market % | Gap (pp) | EV/$100 |
|---|
Model estimates and market prices are shown separately.About these numbersModel estimates, no-vig market probabilities and timestamped decimal references are separate things.A probability gap is not expected value (EV) and not a betting recommendation. Missing and incompatible comparisons stay blank.
Sportsbook prices
Every sportsbook’s price on each match, side by side.
Loading every sportsbook’s price…
How the engine works Data sources, freshness and coverage
How the engine works
1
Ingest live data
Current-season results and published rosters are collected from public sources. Coverage and timestamps are shown.
2
Simulate the match
Open the simulator separately to explore the selected matchup. Rankings do not wait for a simulation to finish.
3
Understand the difference
Compare independent model estimates with timestamped market references when settlement rules match. A probability gap is not a guaranteed advantage.
Injury report
Standings
| Team | GP | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City 7-0-1 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal 7-0-1 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion 5-1-2 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Liverpool 4-3-1 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea 4-1-3 | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Brentford 2-5-1 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Leeds United 2-5-1 | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | Newcastle United 3-2-3 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Aston Villa 3-2-3 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Hull CityUP 2-4-2 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Everton 2-4-2 | 8 | 10 |
| 12 | Ipswich TownUP 3-1-4 | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth 2-3-3 | 8 | 9 |
| 14 | Tottenham Hotspur 2-3-3 | 8 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham 2-2-4 | 8 | 8 |
| 16 | Manchester United 1-4-3 | 8 | 7 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace 2-1-5 | 8 | 7 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest 1-3-4 | 8 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry CityUP 2-0-6 | 8 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland 1-2-5 | 8 | 5 |
Ordered by points, goal difference and goals scored; the live provider order resolves deeper league ties when available. · fresh · fetched 2026-10-30T18:31:14.419419+00:00
Most accurate forecasters
Scoring leaders
1
HaalandMan City
9goals0 assists
2
IsakLiverpool
6goals0 assists
3
João PedroChelsea
5goals3 assists
3
TavernierBournemouth
5goals0 assists
5
CherkiMan City
4goals2 assists
5
RogersChelsea
4goals1 assists
5
MbeumoMan Utd
4goals1 assists
5
N.JacksonAston Villa
4goals0 assists
9
GroßBrighton
3goals6 assists
9
KostoulasBrighton
3goals4 assists
Official FPL live data · season goals · current Premier League player pool only. Players tied on goals share rank. Assists use FPL scoring definitions, which can differ from league award statistics.
